DFS

The preseason is now over. The NFL season is just around the corner, and you may be wondering how exactly is each AFC West team looking as we charge straight toward Week 1 like a runaway train?! The following article are my collection of thoughts as to where each team sits as they end the preseason, and my predictions for how things will shake out within the most tumultuous division in all of football! Sit back, relax, and enjoy the show!

Training camp is in full swing so it’s time to check in on how the AFC South is looking. How is Derrick Henry looking? Is Matt Ryan gelling with the new organization? What is the Texans offense looking like? Is Trevor Lawrence on the right path? All of these questions will be answered and more.

We are drawing closer to the start of the 2022 NFL season. Today we inspect every game of the slate in Week 1. Before we get elbows deep in this, I would like to speak about gambling. If you’re new to gambling, what should you expect?

What advantages do season long bets have? Let’s use a linear regression model to find out. My last article I wrote regarding win totals. Today, I will give everyone great insight into my model’s best values for picking future bets such as “Division Winners” and “To Make Playoffs.”

One of the more popular approaches to team building in fantasy football is the Hero RB strategy. Some may call it “modified zero RB,” others may call it “anchor RB,” and others may call it what it used to be known as “punting RB2.”

Do the Minnesota Vikings have what it takes to dethrone Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers this year? The Vikings certainly have a talented roster, but as with all rosters a lot depends on the play of the quarterback, and no quarterback has been maligned as much by their respective fan base as Kirk Cousins.

I built a regression model to help project and find edges in the world of football. The results were exceedingly profitable.

Free agency and the draft have passed, and the only Bills additions were Khalil Shakir and Jamison Crowder. Both players are replacing losses of Cole Beasley and Emmanuel Sanders. Luckily for Davis, neither profiles as the split-end receiver Davis is. We should have confidence in Davis as a full-time option in 2022. The question is how high of upside he presents in that role.

I saw Mark Andrews as an efficient target hog who operates down the field with a top-five fantasy finish already on his resume. Looking back, I regret not pounding the table for him more. However, we can’t simply ignore the effects of preseason injuries to J.K. Dobbins and Gus Edwards that certainly influenced Baltimore to air out the football more often.

Rondale Moore was barely old enough to vote and produced 1,471 yards of offense. I’m far from a film grinder, but his freshman tape is beyond impressive. I learned not to buy into purely the landing spot and especially not to obsess over coach-centric analysis. I already knew better than that, but I fell into the trap anyway. No matter what I believed about Moore, his 9.4 (1st-percentile among qualified wide receivers) College Yards Per Reception should’ve been a red flag.

No less than three league-winning wide receivers emerged from ambiguous situations in 2021. You won’t have trouble naming them. Cooper Kupp, Ja’Marr Chase and Deebo Samuel all recorded top-5 fantasy seasons in 2021 and ascended to wide receiver royalty. They all came from truly ambiguous WR situations: 2021 was just one season. But over the last six, trends have developed which have implications for fantasy WRs in the future. More top-scoring players will emerge from ambiguous WR situations in 2022 and beyond.

The rookie hype is real in fantasy, but the hype is well-founded. The NFL is enamored with rookie wide receivers, too. There were 17 wide receivers taken in the first three rounds of the 2022 NFL draft, tied with 1994 and 2007 for most rookie WRs drafted in the first three rounds ever. Fantasy drafting is all about finding edges. Many fantasy managers move away from ambiguity because they equate it with uncertainty. Actually drafting wide receivers from ambiguous situations is a surer thing than seemingly more certain situations.  Move toward ambiguity when drafting receivers!